U21 EC Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 7-1
Wales U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2006 |
WAL
1 - 0
CYP
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
EST
0 - 2
WAL
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
CYP
3 - 3
WAL
50%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 0
AZE
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
GER
4 - 0
WAL
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
EST
0 - 2
WAL
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
LUX
1 - 1
EST
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
SVK
2 - 1
EST
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
EST
1 - 3
LVA
26%
23%
52%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2005 |
EST
0 - 5
POR
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |