Wales U17s vs Sweden U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
ROU
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 4
WAL
15%
17%
69%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
WAL
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 0
POL
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +4 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
IRL
3 - 0
WAL
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
BGR
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
SWE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 0
LVA
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 2
MDA
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 2
SWE
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |