Wales U17 vs Portugal U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 1
SWE
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
WAL
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 2
WAL
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 1
ALB
64%
19%
16%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SUI
1 - 0
WAL
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
NED
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
POR
5 - 0
AUT
56%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
SCO
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |