Wales U17 vs Lithuania U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 3
ARM
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
WAL
0 - 4
BEL
30%
24%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 0
WAL
24%
23%
52%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 0
WAL
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
0 - 4
FRA
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
SRB
2 - 0
LTU
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 7
DEN
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
LTU
1 - 0
WAL
24%
23%
52%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +4 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
5 - 2
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FRO
2 - 3
LTU
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |