Wales U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 1
SVN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 2
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
SMR
1 - 4
WAL
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 0
AND
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
NIR
0 - 2
SVN
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
NIR
1 - 3
SCO
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
NIR
1 - 0
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 1
NIR
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2007 |
NIR
3 - 0
MDA
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |