Wales U17 vs Croatia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 4
SRB
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
5 - 2
WAL
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SVN
5 - 0
WAL
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
KAZ
1 - 1
WAL
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 1
SRB
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
3 - 0
LIE
84%
11%
6%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BGR
1 - 0
CRO
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
SCO
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
CRO
4 - 0
ARM
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |