Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Galatasaray SK vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
GAL
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
GAL
33%
25%
43%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 1
GAL
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 4
HUL
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 2
PAN
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
GAL
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZAL
23%
23%
55%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FCS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |