Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Galatasaray SK vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
GAL
2 - 0
BJK
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
SII
0 - 1
GAL
14%
20%
66%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
PSG
2 - 0
GAL
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
GAL
2 - 1
GEN
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
GAL
2 - 0
ACM
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
RMA
1 - 0
NUM
82%
12%
6%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
MLL
1 - 0
RMA
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
AND
2 - 0
RMA
22%
22%
57%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
RMA
4 - 0
RSO
79%
13%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
RMA
3 - 2
LEE
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |