Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-8
Galatasaray SK vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BEY
3 - 2
GAL
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1963 |
GAL
5 - 1
FAT
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
ALT
2 - 0
GAL
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1962 |
GAL
2 - 2
ANK
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
GAL
5 - 1
BEY
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
VNZ
0 - 2
ACM
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAT
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
25%
24%
52%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |