Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Galatasaray SK vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
IST
0 - 0
GAL
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ALT
0 - 0
GAL
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VEF
0 - 0
GAL
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
3 - 0
VEF
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
SAM
0 - 0
GAL
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
WAR
3 - 0
RCH
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 1
WAR
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
TSP
3 - 2
WAR
42%
22%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
WAR
2 - 1
ASS
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1969 |
WAR
2 - 0
CRA
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |