Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
Galatasaray SK vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
HAC
1 - 0
GAL
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
WAR
2 - 1
GAL
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
GAL
1 - 0
BEY
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
GEN
2 - 1
GAL
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
TUR
1 - 0
GAL
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
WAR
2 - 1
GAL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
WAR
1 - 0
ADM
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
ADM
1 - 3
WAR
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
WAR
1 - 0
AGF
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |