Galatasaray SK vs Kasımpaşa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
2º
1º
6
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 70 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 62 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 52 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 52 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 51 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 50 |
11º
|
4% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 47 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 46 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 43 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 42 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 36 |
18º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 32 |
19º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
50.5% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
18.5% | 6.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
11.5% | 7% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 1
PAO
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 3
GAL
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
3 - 1
GFK
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
5 - 0
RIZ
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ADA
1 - 5
GAL
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 0
ANT
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 2
FEN
49%
23%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 1
KAS
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 2
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
KAS
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |