Q. Europa League 4a Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Galatasaray SK vs Karpaty Lviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SIV
2 - 1
GAL
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
BEO
1 - 5
GAL
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 2
BEO
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 0
GAL
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
VFB
0 - 5
GAL
10%
19%
72%
|
85 | 27 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SHA
1 - 0
KPT
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
KPT
2 - 1
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
ZES
0 - 1
KPT
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ZOR
2 - 2
KPT
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
KPT
1 - 0
ZES
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |