Galatasaray SK vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
GAL
6 - 0
KAY
75%
16%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AKB
1 - 2
GAL
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 1
BJK
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
RIZ
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
GAL
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
SIV
2 - 2
FEN
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 1
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
IST
2 - 1
FEN
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 0
KON
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 0
GAZ
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |