Galatasaray SK vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
MAL
1 - 1
GAL
36%
31%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
GAL
5 - 2
KAY
81%
13%
5%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
GAL
4 - 0
ORD
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
DEN
1 - 2
GAL
33%
33%
35%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
ORD
0 - 0
GAL
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ORD
0 - 0
FEN
23%
29%
48%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
GEN
2 - 2
FEN
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
SAK
2 - 0
FEN
26%
24%
51%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
FEN
0 - 0
MAL
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
KAY
3 - 3
FEN
16%
31%
53%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |