Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 6-0
Galatasaray SK vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 1
DIY
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 1
GAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
BJK
1 - 0
GAL
49%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
GAL
3 - 0
ANK
73%
18%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GAL
1 - 1
GEN
59%
21%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
2 - 1
NEF
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
1 - 0
PYU
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
PYU
0 - 2
CSK
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CSK
5 - 2
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LOV
1 - 0
CSK
58%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |