Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Galatasaray SK vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
GAL
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GAL
4 - 1
ERZ
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 1
GAL
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
GAL
3 - 2
ACM
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
GAL
2 - 0
GOZ
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOL
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1999 |
INT
2 - 1
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 0
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 1
GAL
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
UDI
2 - 1
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |