Galatasaray SK vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
BOL
1 - 4
GAL
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
GFK
0 - 1
GAL
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAL
51%
23%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GAL
1 - 0
KON
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GAL
3 - 3
DYN
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
AZA
3 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
WIL
0 - 2
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
FTC
4 - 3
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AZA
1 - 2
SPA
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
AZA
1 - 0
ROM
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |