Galapagar vs Alcorcón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
6º
26
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TRJ
1 - 1
GAL
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 2
ALC
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RVB
0 - 1
GAL
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
LEG
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TRC
4 - 1
GAL
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
MEX
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 6
ALC
18%
23%
60%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |