Galapagar vs El Álamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
6º
14
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GAL
2 - 1
CVI
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CPO
2 - 3
GAL
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
GAL
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 1
GAL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
3 - 2
ALA
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
ARA
24%
24%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 1
ALA
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
ADP
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALA
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |