Galapagar B vs At. Leones Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galapagar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
GAL
30%
22%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VDO
1 - 3
GAL
28%
22%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 2
CCA
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 0
GAL
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 2
FOM
57%
20%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Leones Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
UAR
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ADU
6 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
FOM
36%
24%
41%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AGR
0 - 0
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FTC
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |