Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-5
Galáctico Pegaso vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
OSA
1 - 2
PEG
47%
27%
26%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
PEG
4 - 1
PEÑ
92%
7%
2%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
MIR
2 - 0
PEG
33%
31%
35%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
PEG
2 - 1
ALA
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
RMC
2 - 2
PEG
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
RMC
4 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
4%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CAR
1 - 2
COL
38%
30%
32%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
EIB
2 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
CAR
2 - 1
CFP
32%
31%
37%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +4 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
EJE
1 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |