Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-5
Galáctico Pegaso vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
PEG
1 - 1
TAR
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PEG
0 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
3 - 0
PEG
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
ATM
0 - 1
PEG
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
PEG
1 - 1
ARA
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
4 - 0
LIN
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
REC
1 - 0
RAY
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
3 - 0
PEG
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
RAY
3 - 2
XER
69%
21%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ATB
0 - 0
RAY
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |