Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-2
Galáctico Pegaso vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PEG
1 - 2
GDE
38%
32%
30%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
LEG
1 - 0
PEG
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
PNT
1 - 2
PEG
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
PEG
2 - 2
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ALC
1 - 1
PEG
57%
23%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ILI
1 - 0
CDZ
25%
29%
45%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CDZ
1 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
CDR
2 - 2
CDZ
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
CDZ
1 - 1
BET
68%
21%
12%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
IMP
0 - 1
CDZ
30%
29%
41%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |