Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-1
Galáctico Pegaso vs CF Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CUL
3 - 2
PEG
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
PEG
0 - 0
RUN
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
EXT
1 - 1
PEG
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ENS
1 - 0
PEG
55%
27%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PEG
2 - 2
CFP
68%
20%
11%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
MAL
0 - 0
EXT
61%
24%
15%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
EXT
0 - 0
VEL
64%
23%
14%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
EXT
1 - 1
PEG
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BAL
2 - 1
EXT
63%
24%
13%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
EXT
1 - 1
ILI
63%
23%
14%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |