Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Cumbernauld Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
14º
18º
14º
9
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 71 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 58 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gala Fairydean Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
7 - 0
GAL
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 3
GAL
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 4
EAS
4%
10%
86%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BRX
3 - 0
GAL
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
4 - 1
GAL
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
4 - 3
CUM
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 0
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
3 - 0
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 1
CUM
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BRX
3 - 0
CUM
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |