GAIS vs Mjällby AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
43%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
15º
6º
39
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 63 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 46 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 44 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 44 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GAIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
GAI
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
GAI
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 4
BRO
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 0
LAN
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mjällby AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MJÄ
1 - 1
AIK
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 0
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HÄC
0 - 1
MJÄ
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MJÄ
1 - 1
TRE
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MJÄ
1 - 2
BRO
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |