Gainsborough Trinity vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 1
GAI
35%
25%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GAI
0 - 0
WAR
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
GAI
2 - 0
WHI
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NAN
2 - 1
GAI
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GAI
0 - 0
CLE
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 0
ATH
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 1
LAN
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 2
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 1
RFC
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LAN
4 - 0
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |