Gainsborough Trinity vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
GAI
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GAI
0 - 3
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -3 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
5 - 0
GAI
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
GAI
1 - 0
CHO
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GAI
2 - 1
ALF
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 1
KID
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
KID
0 - 2
TOW
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 2
KID
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
KID
3 - 0
SOU
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
KID
4 - 0
UNM
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |