Gainsborough Trinity vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 0
GAI
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 1
GAI
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 0
GAI
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
GAI
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GAI
3 - 3
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STO
0 - 1
HED
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HED
4 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 3
HED
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
HED
1 - 3
GAI
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |