Gainsborough Trinity vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
GAI
2 - 4
BLY
11%
19%
70%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NUN
0 - 1
GAI
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
DAR
4 - 3
GAI
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GAI
1 - 2
LEA
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
GAI
0 - 4
MAN
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
TOW
4 - 1
CHO
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
TOW
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
TOW
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TOW
4 - 0
NUN
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 1
TOW
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |