Gainsborough Trinity vs Corby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 2
GAI
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 0
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 4
ALT
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 2
GAI
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
TOW
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 0
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 3
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COR
4 - 5
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
COR
0 - 4
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |