Gainsborough Trinity vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
3 - 0
WOR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
5 - 4
ALT
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 5
STO
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
GAI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
OXF
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
VAU
0 - 3
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
STA
2 - 3
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
VAU
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |