Gainsborough Trinity vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 2
GAI
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 1
GAI
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 1
GAI
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 2
NUN
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 5
HIN
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
COL
4 - 1
BIS
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
BLY
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |