Gainsborough Trinity vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TAM
2 - 0
GAI
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 2
GAI
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GAI
0 - 1
STF
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CUR
3 - 0
GAI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WRE
0 - 1
GAI
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CUR
4 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STO
1 - 3
CHO
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |