Gainsborough Trinity vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GAI
0 - 2
TOW
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GLO
4 - 1
GAI
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 0
GAI
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
GAI
3 - 3
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 6
FYL
28%
25%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 2
ALT
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 2
ALT
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 2
DAR
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
WIT
0 - 5
ALT
24%
25%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |