Gagra II vs Mziuri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 0
GAG
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
GAG
3 - 1
GAR
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
IBE
0 - 2
GAG
35%
23%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
GAG
3 - 4
LAB
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 2
ALG
84%
11%
6%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mziuri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
MZI
5 - 1
SHA
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
BAK
0 - 1
MZI
14%
22%
65%
|
64 | 17 | 47 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 1992 |
TSK
2 - 1
MZI
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -4 |
| 16 Jun. 1992 |
MZI
1 - 0
DBA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1992 |
MZI
3 - 1
MER
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |