Gagra II vs Gardabani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 1
AMI
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
GAG
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
GAG
4 - 1
APK
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
IBE
0 - 2
GAG
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
GAG
1 - 1
SHA
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gardabani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2015 |
GAR
7 - 1
SHA
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
BAK
0 - 3
GAR
7%
14%
79%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
GAR
0 - 2
TSK
19%
23%
59%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
VOY
4 - 1
GAR
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 1
KOL
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |