Gagra vs Zestafoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
50.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAG
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
WIT
5 - 1
GAG
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GAG
0 - 0
DTB
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
GAG
1 - 1
SIO
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TSK
3 - 1
GAG
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FTK
0 - 2
ZES
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ZES
4 - 2
SAM
77%
15%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 1
ZES
22%
29%
49%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
0 - 1
ZES
37%
30%
33%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
ZES
2 - 2
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |