Gagra vs Spartaki Tskhinvali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GAG
1 - 2
KOL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
3 - 0
GAG
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GAG
2 - 0
MET
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SIO
1 - 3
GAG
27%
27%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GAG
3 - 0
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Spartaki Tskhinvali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
ZOO
2 - 2
TSK
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TSK
1 - 2
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MET
0 - 0
TSK
74%
19%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TSK
0 - 0
SIO
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
TSK
4 - 0
ZOO
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |