Gagra vs Shukura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
11
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
GAG
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
GOR
16%
25%
59%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 0
GAG
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 2
DBA
12%
22%
66%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FTK
4 - 1
GAG
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 0
FTK
18%
26%
57%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 2
SHU
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 3
DTB
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
5 - 1
SHU
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 2
TEL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |