Gagra vs Sapovnela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
GAG
1 - 1
RUS
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GAG
0 - 0
WIT
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
LAZ
1 - 3
GAG
56%
22%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
GAG
0 - 0
MAT
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MET
1 - 1
GAG
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sapovnela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 2
SAP
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 1
TSK
20%
26%
55%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FTK
4 - 1
SAP
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 1
DBA
24%
28%
48%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GOR
3 - 1
SAP
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |