Gagra vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
10º
8º
11
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 56 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 24 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 0
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 1
GAG
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 2
DTB
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
GAG
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
SAB
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
FTK
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 1
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
TEL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |