Gagra vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
33
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
GAG
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
2 - 1
SAB
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 0
GAG
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 2
FTK
24%
28%
49%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 1
GAG
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 9
SAM
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
GOR
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
SAM
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 3
DBA
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 0
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |