Gagra vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 1
SIO
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 1
GAG
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
GAG
2 - 0
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DTB
2 - 1
GAG
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GAG
1 - 4
DBA
17%
26%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 2
LVI
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
VYS
44%
24%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
KOL
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAK
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |