Gagra vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
GUR
4 - 1
GAG
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
GAG
1 - 2
MET
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
WIT
3 - 2
GAG
49%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
GAG
0 - 1
SIO
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
GAG
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
ZUG
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
SAM
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
GUR
1 - 0
SAM
30%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 1
MET
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
WIT
2 - 3
SAM
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |