Gagra vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
GAG
0 - 2
WIT
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 4
GAG
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
GAG
3 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
DTB
2 - 2
GAG
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
GAG
2 - 2
DBA
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 0
GAR
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
DTB
3 - 0
NOR
79%
14%
6%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 6
TEL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |