David Kipiani Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Gagra vs Merani Martvili analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
GAG
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GAG
0 - 0
SIO
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
GAG
4 - 0
SUL
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
GAG
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
DTB
3 - 0
GAG
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MER
3 - 0
WIT
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TSK
1 - 2
MER
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
TSK
1 - 1
MER
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
GAG
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |