Gagra vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAB
2 - 1
GAG
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GAG
0 - 0
GOR
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAG
0 - 1
DTB
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DBA
2 - 0
GAG
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
GAG
0 - 2
FTK
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 4
SAM
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TEL
0 - 0
LOK
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 2
SIO
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
2 - 0
LOK
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAB
5 - 1
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |