Gagra vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
2 - 1
GAG
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GAG
0 - 2
MET
17%
26%
57%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ZES
4 - 1
GAG
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
DTB
4 - 1
GAG
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
GAG
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
LOK
3 - 2
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TSK
1 - 1
LOK
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
0 - 0
LOK
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
ZES
1 - 1
LOK
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
WIT
1 - 1
LOK
75%
17%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |